Next time you snap a meal photo for ChatGPT, type the ingredients and a portion reference (egg-sized, fist-sized, palm-sized) along with the photo. Then mentally discount the protein number it returns by 10 to 15 percent.
An LLM looking at your food photo is like a really fast cashier with no scale and no scanner. They can name almost everything on the tray (93% of foods correctly identified). They guess weights from across the counter. They round protein up because they over-trust the word "chicken." Useful for a sense check at the till. Not the system you want for the books.
Per-endpoint conviction: food identification (~93%) HIGH | single-item ±10% accuracy on 35–48% of items HIGH | poor portion estimation on medium/large portions HIGH | protein overestimation bias MODERATE (one peer-reviewed paper, not yet replicated for GPT-5) | GPT-5 "practically useful" claim MODERATE-to-LOW (single cross-sectional eval) | Claude vs Gemini vs ChatGPT relative accuracy LOW (no peer-reviewed head-to-head exists).
An independent (non-OpenAI-funded), pre-registered, three-arm benchmark of ≥500 real-world meal photos comparing GPT-5, Claude latest-vision, and Gemini latest-Pro. Primary endpoint: % of meals within ±5% of true kcal AND ±5% of each macro (true value via weighed ingredient log), stratified by portion size and dish type. Pass condition: ≥60% within ±5% kcal across all conditions, ICC ≥ 0.85 for protein, no systematic protein bias. That study would upgrade the GPT-5 case to HIGH.
An independent replication on GPT-5 using ≥150 protein-rich foods (mixed lean / fatty / processed / plant-based protein sources) showing zero systematic bias on protein estimation, with the bias also absent in head-to-head Claude and Gemini benchmarks. Until that exists, I treat the protein bias as live and applicable.
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